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オ-レッドテレビ、SUHDテレビの価格を猛追撃

オーレッド・テレビの価格が持続的に下落しながらSUHDテレビの価格を猛追撃している。

アマゾン(www.amazon.com)でエルジ-電子の2016年3月のモデルである65インチの4KUHD

オレッド・テレビ(OLED65B6)の価格が16年12月を規準にUSD3、147ドルで16年7月の価格で

あるUSD4,747ドルに比べ、USD1,600ドルが下落したこととして現われている。

55インチ4K UHDオーレッド・テレビ(OLED55B6)の価格はUSD2,097ドルで16年7月の価格であるUSD2,897ドルに比べ、USD800ドルが下落した。

類似したプレミアム製品群であるサムスン電子のSUHDテレビの価格は65インチ(UN65KS8000)がUSD1,648ドルで、同じサイズのエルジ-電子のUHDオーレッドテレビに比べてUSD1,499ドルの差があることになっている。

特に55インチ(UN55KS8000)はUSD1,131ドルで、同じサイズのエルジー電子のUHDテレビに比べてUSD966ドルの差があり、USD1,000ドル未満へその差が狭まったことがわかる。

2016年の65インチモデルを基準にUHDオーレッドテレビとSUHDテレビの価格の差を比べてみると、2016年7月基準にUSD2,500ドルの価格の差が生じたが、2016年12月の基準では約USD1,500ドルの価格差で55インチだけではなく65インチにおいてもオーレッドテレビの価格がSUHDテレビとの価格差を猛スピードで狭めていることが明らかになった。

 

01.20_1

<エルジ-電子とサムスン電子の65インチ、55インチテレビの価格の比較、出処:UBIリサーチ>

 

一方、 LGディスプレイは2016年度に投資された E4 phase2 26K Gen8 OLEDの量産ラインを今年の2四半期から本格的に稼動することと展望され、オーレッドテレビの価格は更にもっと下落できることと予想される。

また、CES2017でオーレッドテレビの陣営へ参与した業界の数が6業界から11業界へ著しく増加し、特にSonyの ような大手製造社と多様なヨーロッパの業界が合流して、オーレッドテレビの市場が活性化している趨勢で、オーレッドテレビの価格の下落はプレミアムテレビの市場にて LCDテレビとの競争において有利な高地を占めることと展望される。

 

 

삼성, 뉴욕 마케팅 센터에 2세대 퀀텀닷 SUHD TV 등 출시

삼성전자가 뉴욕 마케팅 센터에 2세대 퀀텀닷TV 등을 출시했다.(출처=삼성전자)

삼성전자가 뉴욕 마케팅 센터에 2세대 퀀텀닷 SUHD TV 등을 출시했다.(출처=삼성전자)

강현주 기자 / jjoo@olednet.com

삼성전자가 미국 뉴욕에 위치한 ‘삼성 뉴욕 마케팅센터’에 2세대 퀀텀닷 SUHD TV를 비롯한 홈엔터테인먼트 제품을 대거 출시, 북미 시장 공략에 나섰다고 14일 발표했다.

삼성전자는 올해 신제품 SUHD TV 전 라인업 뿐 아니라 UHD 블루레이 플레이어, 돌비 ‘애트모스’ 기술을 탑재한 사운드 바 등 홈 엔터테인먼트 신제품들을 출시했다.

삼성전자는 행사장을 거실, 침실, 서재 등 집안 곳곳의 생활 공간으로 꾸며 SUHD TV의 화질, 쉬워진 삼성 스마트TV 사용자경험(UX)을 마치 집에서 사용하는 것처럼 체험해 볼 수 있도록 구성했다.

올해 SUHD TV 신제품은 지난해보다 진화된 2세대 퀀텀닷 기술로 색상 표현이 25% 더 정확해져 자연색 그대로 표현하고, 전 제품에 1000니트(nit) 밝기의 HDR(High Dynamic Range)이 적용됐다.

TV 리모컨 하나로 TV와 TV에 연결된 케이블TV, IPTV, 인터넷 기반 동영상 서비스 등의 셋톱박스, 홈시어터, 블루레이 플레이어, 게임 콘솔 등 다양한 주변 기기들을 간편하게 제어하는 사용자경험(UX)이 참석자들의 큰 호응을 얻었다는 게 삼성전자의 설명이다.

터널 모양의 벽과 천정에서는 삼성전자가 세계 TV 시장 1위에 오르기까지 거쳐온 노력의 역사를 보여주는 영상으로 채웠다.

삼성전자는 2세대 퀀텀닷 디스플레이 SUHD TV를 북미시장에 성공적으로 출시해 11년 연속 세계 TV 시장 1위 수성의 초석을 다진다는 계획이다.

시장조사기관 NPD에 따르면, 삼성전자는 지난해 북미 평판 TV시장에서 금액 기준 37%의 점유율로 역대 최고 실적을 기록했다. 또한 지난해 북미 UHD TV시장에서는 52.7%의 압도적인 시장점유율로 1위를 차지했다.

삼성전자 미국법인 데이브 다스 상무는 “퀀텀닷 디스플레이가 선사하는 최고의 화질로 소비자들에게 TV의 새로운 가치를 제시하고 미국 TV시장을 선도해 나가겠다”며, “미국 소비자들에게 계속해서 사랑 받는 프리미엄 TV 브랜드가 되기 위해 노력할 것”이라고 말했다.

 

Samsung, Even if OLED TV is Released, Different from LG

Hyunjoo Kang / Reporter / jjoo@olednet.com

<LG Elec. is Introducing OLED TV in CES 2016>

 

Within the TV market, there is an opinion that even Samsung Electronics which believes it is not yet the time for OLED panel cannot continue to insist on LCD. Experts estimate that even if it is the same OLED TV, Samsung Elec. will differentiate the actualization method from competitors’ including LG Electronics. One of the possibilities suggested is Samsung’s selection of ink-jet printed OLED TV panel.

 

Hyun-Suk Kim, Samsung Elec. Visual Display department’s vice president, who recently announced new LCD based SUHD TV mentioned that OLED TV is premature and also needs technological improvements.

 

However, it looks to be difficult for Samsung to insist on LCD TV only in the long term. China is threatening Korean companies in LCD panel market with superior price competitiveness; there is too much risk for Korean display companies such as Samsung Display to invest further in LCD production line. Although Samsung Elec. is not receiving panel supply exclusively from Samsung Display, Samsung Display is the biggest supplier. Therefore, Samsung Display’s LCD investment reduction is also expected to affect Samsung Elec.’s TV business.

 

Furthermore, Samsung Elec. is in the position of having to emphasize OLED’s superior picture quality over LCD in smartphone business, but highlight the opposite in TV. This is also an issue that needs to be tackled.

 

Despite these issues, Samsung cannot easily start on OLED TV as several problems such as price competitiveness have not been solved.

 

<Hyun-Suk Kim, Samsung Elec.’s Vice President, is Introducing New SUHD TV>

 

◆ Ink-jet Printing, Can it Solve OLED for TV Price Issue?

 

According to Dong-won Kim, analyst with Hyundai Securities, Samsung Display, with Samsung Elec. as the biggest client, has unfavorable structure for reducing production cost as 65 inch OLED TV panel production efficiency is low in Gen8 line.

 

Kim estimated that Samsung Display will apply solution process ink-jet printing technology to OLED TV with 2018 mass production target in order to solve this problem.

 

When producing OLED TV panel, WRGB OLED method, which uses evaporation method, can only reduce production cost by certain amount as the material usage efficiency is low. On the other hand, ink-jet printing RGB technology finely deposits ink in liquid form and can reduce materials cost. Additionally, RGB OLED has fewer organic layers compared to WRGB OLED and processes can be decreased.

 

For these reasons, some believe that Samsung will select ink-jet printing method rather than evaporation for OLED TV in future. There is also a view that LG Display, which is currently using evaporation method, will also actively consider producing ink-jet printed OLED TV panel in the long term.

 

A display expert explained that although ink-jet printing processes are simpler than evaporation method, that does not necessarily mean materials cost is always cheaper. The ink-jet printing technology is not yet perfect, and particularly for blue the efficiency issue has not yet been solved.

 

He added that Samsung Elec. has strong tendency to differentiate itself from competitors such as LG, and even if Samsung Elec. releases OLED TV, it is likely that ink-jet printing, which is different from LG, will be the preferred method.

Why is ‘Cadmium-free’ Significant? Samsung’s Quantum Dot SUHD TV

Hyunjoo Kang / jjoo@olednet.com

<Samsung Elec. Released 2nd Generation Quantum Dot TV. Source: Samsung Elec.>

On the subject of Samsung Electronics’ 2nd generation quantum dot display equipped SUHD TV product, recently released in Korea, display experts consider the actualization of 1,000 nit without cadmium as the key strength.

 

In 2015, Samsung Elec. first launched quantum dot SUHD TV under the name nanocrystal technology. Each quantum dot of nanosize, 10,000 times narrower than a human hair, actualizes accurate color.

 

According to Samsung Elec., the 2nd generation quantum dot technology to produce this new product, an improvement over last year’s. The company emphasized that compared to the previous product, the price was reduced and brightness was improved. HDR (high dynamic range) with 1,000 nit maximum was applied to the new product.

 

The 1,000 nit brightness is the standard figure of premium image produced in Hollywood, US. If this figure is high, screen’s bright and dark areas can be experienced fully even in bright environment such as a living room area.

 

Although not applied to all models of Samsung’s 1st generation quantum dot SUHD TV, 1,000 nit brightness was applied to the majority of the models; that 1,000 nit brightness was applied to the new product is not worth much attention by itself.

 

<Samsung Elec.’s 1st Generation Quantum Dot TV vs. Other Display in CES 2015>

 

◆Hazardous Heavy Metal Cadmium, Why Difficult to Remove?

 

Quantum dot film includes cadmium. As cadmium is a hazardous heavy metal, cadmium including quantum dot film cannot be environmentally friendly. Cadmium use in Europe is limited.

 

However, without cadmium, the quantum dot film’s optical efficiency is reduced. In order to make up for this, LED chips have to be applied which increases the price as well as the energy consumption. An alternative method to avoid this is development of additional quantum dot materials that increase efficiency.

 

For these reasons, some Chinese companies that produce quantum dot display equipped products select to use cadmium, overlooking the environmental issues. Samsung Elec. also emphasized that it is the only company that utilizes environmentally friendly cadmium-free quantum dot materials.

 

Through quantum dot materials’ efficiency and color mapping algorithm improvement, Samsung actualized 1,000 nit brightness without resorting to cadmium and without increase in power consumption. Color accuracy, which is a quantum dot display trait, was also improved by 25%.

 

Samsung Elec. is planning to release 14 models of SUHD TV, from 49 inch to 88 inch, in Korea. This is over 30% increase compared to last year. The price also was reduced by 900,000 KRW compared to the previous version. The new products, depending on the specifications, cost around 6 million KRW for 65 inch, and 4 million KRW for 55 inch.

A comment from a display expert is, “the new product has 1,000 nit brightness is not significant by itself, and color accuracy improvement also is not of much attention as it is an existing quantum dot trait”. However, he also put another comment from his analysis, “1,000 nit brightness was actualized without using cadmium and without decreasing energy efficiency is worth noting”.

UHD OLED TV, Rapidly Catching Up to SUHD TV Price

OLED TV price, once again, dropped down by a large margin. LG Electronics’ new 2015 model 65inch 4K Ultra HD curved OLED TV (65EG9600) on Amazon (www.amazon.com) fell to US$ 6,999 which is a drop of US$ 2,000 from previous US$ 8,999. The price for 55inch 4K Ultra HD curved OLED TV fell US$ 1,000 to US$ 4,499 from its release price of US$ 5,499. The 2015 new model EG9600 series has panel with improved brightness of 450nit from previous 400nit.

 

The price of Samsung Electronics’ SUHD TV, similar premium product to LG Electornics’, is US$ 4,997 for 65inch (UN65JS9500), and US$ 2,497.99 for 55inch; there is a difference of approximately US$ 2,000 between LG Electronics’’ UHD OLED TV of same size.

 

The comparison between 2015 65inch UHD OLED TV and SUHD TV shows that approx. 40% price difference was shown in April 2015. However in July 2015, the difference was approx. 30%, showing that UHD OLED TV price further fell by approx. 10%.

 

These show that the UHD OLED TV price reduction is occurring rapidly. It is analyzed that the biggest factor for LG Electronics’ UHD OLED TV price fall is production cost reduction due to UHD panel yield increase and competition with set companies that actively began OLED TV sales.

UHD TV Price Trend, Source : UBI Research

UHD TV Price Trend, Source : UBI Research

LG Electronics, Not Selling OLED TV? Or Can’t Sell?

OLED TV business that LG Electronics ambitiously prepared for is remaining at a standstill for more than 2 years. Korean media is reporting that the OLED TV sales in Korea reached 3,000 units per month, but this figure is too weak.

 

The money that LG Display have invested in line establishment for OLED panel for TV is already exceeding approx. US$ 1,400,000,000. Annual depreciation cost for equipment investment alone, excluding cost of labor and material, is approx. US$ 280,000,000.

 

Considering the current cost for FHD OLED TV is approx. US$ 1,800 – 3,300, monthly sales of 3,000 units in Korea only result in approx. US$ 9,400,000. With approx. 10,000 units per month being sold in the world, monthly revenue is merely US$ 23,000,000.

 

Although LG Display is aiming for 600,000 units of OLED panel for TV shipment this year, with LG Electronics’ first quarter world OLED TV sales of approx. 30,000 units, there is concern that only 100,000 – 200,000 units will be sold in 2015.

 

It is difficult to understand whether this uncommonly low sales of LG Electronics’ OLED TV is because they are not selling them or unable to sell them.

 

It seems plain that the initial price of OLED TV in 2013, approx. US$ 14,000, was set in order to not sell. LED TV at the time was being sold at approx. US$ 2,800, and the 5 times more expensive price was too high to be considered a normal premium price. Consequently, the 2013 OLED TV market stopped at around 10,000 units, and in 2014 remained around 100,000 units.

 

At this point, feasible production rate for LG Display’s 55 inch FHD OLED panel needs to be compared. In 2013, LG Display’s M1 line yield rate was approx. 40% with annual possible production of 50,000 – 100,000 units. As the yield rate increased to 80% in 2014, it is estimated that 200,000 units or more would have been produced.

 

Compared to LG Display’s investment cost and production potential, the LG Electronics’ OLED TV sales results are too shabby.

 

Of course, as the current main product on the market is FHD, when the newly released UHD OLED TV market actively opens the figures could always change. However, with 55 inch UHD OLED TV having to compete with Samsung Electronics’ SUHD TV, the market is not so easy. SUHD TV costs approx. US$ 3,700, and UHD OLED TV costs about 25% more with US$ 5,100.

 

Compared to the initial price of FHD OLED TV, approx. US$ 14,000, 2 years ago the UHD OLED TV price is low enough to be quite reasonable. However, with the performance of past 2 years it appears that LG Display might be inadequate to widely open the OLED TV market.

 

It makes one wonder how Samsung Electronics became the world leading company with their OLED panel equipped Galaxy series achieving 20% mobile market share, a market that used to be dominated by LCD panel.

LG Electronics Actively Release 55 inch UHD OLED TV, Begins Intense Competition with UHD LCD

LG Electronics’ 55 inch UHD curved OLED TV, soon to be released, have been revealed on USA’s Amazon.com (www.amazon.com) in the 3rd week of April for the first time. With the price of US$ 5,499, it is US$ 3,500 lower than 65 inch UHD curved OLED TV (US$ 8,999), and US$ 1,500 higher than Samsung Electronics’ equivalent 55 inch curved SUHD TV (US$ 3,998).

 

Comparing LG Elec.’s 55 inch curved FHD OLED TV and 55/65 inch curved UHD OLED TV with Samsung’s equivalent LED TV and SUHD TV in terms of price on Amazon.com in the 3rd week of April, the price difference are shown to be approx. US$ 1,100 for 55 inch FHD, US$ 1,500 in 55 inch UHD, and US$ 4,000 for 65 inch UHD.

 

The release price for this 55 inch UHD curved OLED TV is more reasonable than previously released models and future market for next generation TV is expected to be fierce; 55 inch FHD curved OLED TV was released at US$ 15,000, and 65 inch UHD curved OLED TV was at US$ 12,000, which were more than twice the price of LCD TV of equal specification.

 

As the price of FHD curved OLED TV is falling by approx. 60% annually since its release, UBI Research’s White OLED Display Annual Report (published on April 15) forecast that UHD curved OLED TV will be able to compete with Samsung’s SUHD TV in terms of price if they can achieve FHD OLED TV level of yield.

 

On the other hand, during the 1st OLED KOREA Conference, LG Display revealed that FHD OLED TV panel yield rate exceeded 80% and that they are aiming for 80% of yield for UHD OLED TV panel by the end of 2015.

 

Price Difference between LG OLED TV and SUHD TV

Price Difference between LG OLED TV and SUHD TV

 

LG Electronics’ 55 inch UHD curved OLED TV, www.amazon.com

LG Electronics’ 55 inch UHD curved OLED TV, www.amazon.com

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