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『AMOLED Display Market Track』発刊 – 市場実績（Market Performance）、市場展望（Market Forecast）、平均販売価格（ASP）、供給および需要分析

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UBI Researchが2018年2月に発刊した『AMOLED Display Market Track』の市場実績（Market Performance）データによると、2017年全体AMOLEDの出荷量は4億4,000万台、売上高は271億米ドルで、前年比それぞれ13.6%、62.3%増と集計された。

 

2017年スマートフォン用AMOLEDが占める出荷量の割合は、AMOLED市場全体の95.1%と示され、売上高の割合は89.7%を記録した。フレキシブルAMOLEDの出荷量は2017年に前年比約2.1倍増加となった1億4,000万台に達し、2018年には2億3,000万台で全体の46%まで増加するという分析だ。

 

2017年TV用AMOLEDの出荷量は前年比約1.8倍増加した172万台を記録し、LG Displayによる中国の第8世代工場が2019年下半期から稼働を開始すると予想され、TV用AMOLED市場は成長を続ける見込みだ。

<AMOLED市場全体の展望>

2018年以降はAMOLED市場に大きな変化が生じると見込まれる。

 

供給面においては、スマートフォン用AMOLEDパネルサイズの増加加速化とSamsung DisplayリジッドAMOLEDラインの車載用・Foldable用への転換により、世界のディスプレイメーカーにおける生産能力に比べ出荷量が減少すると予想される。

 

需要面においても、スマートフォン用AMOLEDパネルに対する需要の増加幅が減少する見込みだ。2018年には低価格フルスクリーンLCDの登場とフレキシブルAMOLEDパネルの価格上昇によって、フレキシブルAMOLEDパネルに対する中国セットメーカーからの需要が減少するという。

 

『AMOLED Display Market Track』の市場展望（Market Forecast）データによると、AMOLED市場全体における出荷量は2022年まで年平均17%で成長し約9億5,000万台になり、売上高は2022年まで年平均22%で成長し、市場規模は805億米ドルに達する。

<中小型AMOLEDの需要および供給分析>

UBI Researchイ・チュンフン代表は「2021年まで20%台の供給過剰が予想されるが、それ以降は中国パネルメーカーがフレキシブルAMOLED市場に参入することでパネルの価格が落ち、2022年には11%の供給過剰に収まる」と述べた。

 

一方、2018年2月に発刊された『AMOLED Display Market Track』では、AMOLED市場の実績と展望につき、四半期・年度・アプリケーションごとに詳しく説明しており、平均販売価格（ASP）と需要および供給分析（Supply and Demand analysis）など、様々な側面から分析したデータとグラフをエクセルファイルにて提供している。

UBI Research、2017年OLED産業指標を分析した「2018 OLEDパネル産業レポート」発刊

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UBI Researchは2017年一年間のOLED産業指標を分析した「2018 OLEDパネル産業レポート」を先日12日に発刊した。

 

本レポートはリジッドからフレキシブル、ソリューションプロセスまでOLED全般において、パネルメーカーの開発動向、重要事項、採用製品の現況、市場など様々な観点から分析を行い、今後ディスプレイ市場の注力となるOLED産業を展望する上で有用な情報になると考えられる。

 

また、2017年におけるOLED採用製品の現況をスマートフォンとTVなど様々なアプリケーションに分類し、その発売動向と関連重要事項について確認することもできる。

 

最近のトレンドとして注目されているフルスクリーンスマートフォンにはフレキシブルOLEDのみを採用可能で、COG（Chip on Glass）方法を用いるリジッドOLEDの場合、上下部にモジュール空間を確保しなければならないため、採用することが困難であると説明した。それによって、パネルメーカーは減少傾向にあるリジッドOLEDの需要と付加価値を向上させるために、現在の形状（長方形）ではなく、ノッチ形状のフルスクリーンを実現すると予想した。

 

UBI Researchによると、2018年にはリジッドOLEDが2億7,000万個、フレキシブルOLEDが2億3,000万個出荷され、それぞれの売上高は125億米ドル、239億米ドルになる見込みである。第8世代以上でマザーガラスを分割せずにRGB構造の大面積OLEDパネルを製造できるソリューションプロセスは、2019年から本格的に量産を開始し、2019年に20万個、2022年に920万個のソリューションプロセスOLEDを出荷すると分析した。

<フレキシブルOLEDの出荷量展望>

ベゼルレスからフルスクリーンへ、フルスクリーンスマートフォン時代到来

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スマートフォンのディスプレイ領域が広がっている。
ディスプレイ領域(Display area：D.A)は、スマートフォンサイズに’対するディスプレイサイズを表すものである。IMID 2016ビジネスフォーラムで韓国Samsung Display朴・ウォンサン首席は「D.Aはスマートフォンの携帯性を向上するためにサイズの限界を超えられる鍵になる。これからはD.Aを90%以上に拡大するフルスクリーンスマートフォンが発売され、スマートフォン市場の主役になる」と述べた。

<参考：Samsung Displayが発表したイメージファイル>

 

従来スマートフォンのD.Aは約60~70%程度だった。

しかし、2016年に韓国Samsung ElectronicsはフレキシブルAMOLEDを採用したGalaxy S7 EdgeとNote 7を発売し、D.Aを75%以上まで拡大した。中国では、ZTEがD.Aを75.2％にしたNubia Z11を、XiaomiがD.Aを83.6%にしたMi Mixを発売するなどD.Aの拡大に取り組み始めた。

 

2017年に韓国LG ElectronicsはLG G6に18:9割合の‘Full Vision 5.7型 QHD+ Display’を 採用し、 D.Aを80.4%まで拡大した。前モデルであるG5に比べディスプレイのサイズは0.4inch向上したが、ベゼルは左右1mmずつ縮まった。D.Aは約10%拡大となった。

また、2017年4月に発売したGalaxy S8と発売予定のiPhone S8(仮称)は、ホームボタンを無くし、左右・上下ベゼルを大きく減らすことができるためD.Aは91%以上に拡大すると見込まれている。

 

このようにD.Aを最大化したフルスクリーンスマートフォンは、ハイ

<ディスプレイタイプ別スマートフォン市場占有率、　出所：UBI Research>

エンドスマートフォン市場のトレンドになると見られており、フルスクリーンスマートフォン市場をリードするのはフレキシブルAMOLEDと予想される。

 

フレキシブルAMOLEDはプラスチック基板を使用し、柔軟性を高めると同時に多くのモジュールを効率的にスマートフォンに取り付けることができるためフルスクリーンの実現に適している。

 

 

UBI Researchは、昨年10年に発刊した『Key issue and Market Analysis for Foldable OLED』で、左右ベゼルと上下ベゼルを減らした形のフルスクリーンAMOLEDタイプスマートフォンは、2017年に市場占有率約17%となり、2020年には約60%まで拡大、ベゼルレスタイプOLEDパネルの市場占有率を越えると見通した。

삼성전자, 갤럭시 S7·S7엣지 핑크골드 출시

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갤럭시S7 및 S7엣지 핑크골드(출처: 삼성전자)

갤럭시 S7 및 S7엣지 핑크골드(출처: 삼성전자)

강현주 기자 / jjoo@olednet.com

삼성전자가 20일부터 한국 이동통신 3사를 통해 ‘갤럭시 S7 엣지’와 ‘갤럭시 S7’ 핑크골드 모델을 출시한다.

핑크골드 색상의 ‘갤럭시 S7 엣지’와 ‘갤럭시 S7’는 32GB로 출시되며 출고가는 기존과 동일하게 각각 92만 4천원, 83만 6천원이다.

삼성전자는 여성 소비자의 감성에 맞춰 혁신의 아이콘인 ‘갤럭시 S7’에  핑크골드를 추가했으며 이번 핑크 골드 제품 출시를 기념하여 다채로운 마케팅 행사를 마련했다.
삼성전자는 21일까지 롯데월드몰 아트리움에서 뷰티 이커머스 기업인 미미박스(MEMEBOX)와 함께  갤럭시 S7의 방수 기능에서 착안한 워터프루프 메이크업, 핑크골드 색상에서 영감을 얻은 핑크핑크 메이크업 등 다양한 메이크업 클래스를 펼친다.

메이크업 클래스에 초청된 고객 전원에게 미미박스의 핑크 제품으로 구성된 ‘♥7 핑크 럭키 박스’ 가 제공되며, 이 중 일부 박스에 ‘갤럭시 S7’ 핑크골드ㆍ‘기어 S2 클래식’ 로즈골드가 깜짝 선물로 담길 예정이다.
미미박스 홈페이지에서도 ‘♥7 핑크 럭키 박스’ 퀴즈 이벤트를 진행하고, 참여자 대상으로 다양한 럭키 박스를 증정한다.
또한 삼성전자는 23일부터 5월 8일까지 신사동 가로수길 S7 팝업 갤러리에서 ‘♥7 Day & Night with S7’ 사진전을 개최해 20대 여성 소비자들이 ‘갤럭시 S7’ 핑크골드로 전국의 풍경을 담은 사진을 전시할 예정이다.
이번 신제품 출시에 맞춰 라인프렌즈와 협업한 배터리팩과 자폐인의 재능을 발굴하여 사회ㆍ경제적 독립을 지원하는 사회적 기업 오티스타와 협업한 7종류의 케이스도 선보인다.
삼성 디지털프라자 홍대점에서는 갤럭시S7 핑크골드 출시기념으로 홍대 길거리 연주팀을 초청하여 다채로운 공연을 진행하고 사은품을 지급하는 룰렛게임도 진행한다.
삼성전자 관계자는 “봄을 맞아 새롭게 선보이는 ’갤럭시 S7’ 핑크골드 모델은 우아하고 깊이 있는 색상으로 여심을 자극할 것”이라며 “다채로운 이벤트를 통해 이번의 출시한 ‘갤럭시 S7’ 핑크골드를 더욱 많은 고객들이 경험하게 되길 바란다”고 전했다.

‘갤럭시 S7’ 핑크골드와 이벤트에 대한 자세한 정보는 www.samsung.com/sec/galaxys7에서 확인할 수 있다.

Samsung Display OLED Equipped iPhone 7S in 2017? Is it Possible?

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Samsung Display is Expected to Supply OLED for iPhone(Source: Apple)

Samsung Display is Expected to Supply OLED for iPhone(Source: Apple)

Hyunjoo Kang / Reporter / jjoo@olednet.com

On 14 April, one Korean media reported that Samsung Display agreed to supply OLED for Apple’s iPhone, and the forecast that Samsung Display OLED will be used for iPhone 7S (TBA) to be released in 2017 is gaining traction.

According to the Maeil Kyoungjae article published on 14, Samsung Display and Apple signed agreement of OLED supply of 3 trillion KRW worth of 5.5 inch panel a year, with 3 years of supplier right. Subsequently, it is known that Samsung will carry out new investment of total 10 trillion KRW for Gen6 flexible OLED exclusive line A3 factory, and supply 100 million units of OLED panel a year for 3 years from Q2 2017. The majority of the industry estimates that Apple will begin application of this panel from the model to be released in H2 2017.

No official confirmation is Samsung Display’s position. However, it has been widely known within the industry that Samsung Display has agreed to supply OLED for Apple from next year. OLEDNET analyzed whether Samsung Display’s OLED application to the new 2017 iPhone is possible.

UBI Research’s analysis of key Korean OLED manufacturing companies’ Financial Supervisory Service public announcements shows that the volume Samsung Display ordered for A3 line expansion is judged to be 30K. Samsung Display’s current A3 line is 15K volume. When the newly ordered 30K volume is established, the total volume becomes 45K.

1K equals 1,000 units of glass substrate per month. If 1 substrate can produce approximately 300 units of panel, 45K A3 line can mass produce 162 million units of OLED panel per year. Global iPhone sales volume is about 200 million units per year. For Samsung Display to supply about half of this volume, approximately 100 million units a year, the 45K line is enough.

The problem is that Samsung Display does not supply OLED to Apple only. UBI Research analyzes that when OLED panels of Galaxy series for Samsung Electronics, Samsung Display’s biggest client, is considered, 45K volume is not enough; at a minimum 60K is required to satisfy the demand of both Samsung Electronics and Apple.

UBI Research’s Choong Hoon Yi forecast that if Samsung Display carries out additional orders regarding A3 line expansion within this year and is equipped with over 60K volume, the company will be able to handle half of iPhone’s annual OLED supply at a minimum. He explained that the 45K could be insufficient to supply OLED for both Galaxy and iPhone series. Yi added that Samsung Display can at least supply a small volume of OLED to Apple, and have them be applied to the early batch of iPhone 7S (TBA) in H2 2017.

LGD’s Head of OLED TV Development Group, “65·55 inch, Growth Engine”

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LGD’s ChangHo Oh, “65, 55 inch TV are OLED TV’s Growth Engine”(Tokyo=OLEDNET)

LGD’s ChangHo Oh, “65, 55 inch TV are OLED TV’s Growth Engine”(Tokyo=OLEDNET)

Hyunjoo Kang / Reporter / jjoo@olednet.com

LG Display has once again reaffirmed its determination to lead the TV market with OLED as the growth engine. In particular, the company is planning to actively respond to the increase of demand for 65 inch and 55 inch OLED TV.

On April 7, during the FineTech Japan Special Session, ChangHo Oh, LG Display’s OLED TV Development Group, gave a talk titled ‘Technology for Large Size OLED Display’ and emphasized the superiority of large area OLED panel.

As a display for a large size TV, LCD has light leakage issue, but Oh explained that OLED can solve this and actualize natural colors without distortion. Oh added that through self-emitting characteristic of OLED, the demands for large size TV picture quality can be solved, and through freedom in forms such as foldability, the design can be improved to less than 1 mm thickness. Furthermore, he added large size OLED panel’s advantages including superior light actualization in same color sector

a-Si, poly Si, and oxide substrates are mainly used for LCD, and for OLED it is oxide, and poly Si. Oh explained that as a part of responding to the panel enlargement, changing the a-Si of the existing mass production line to oxide could improve enlargement and safety.

Oh reported that as the demand for 65 inch and 55 inch TV is increasing, this will become the growth engine of the OLED market, and that P10 factory establishment in Paju is being carried out.

FineTech Japan 2016 (April 6-8) is a display technology related exhibition held in Tokyo Big Sight. The 26th annual event is participated by approximately 260 companies including Samsung Display, BOE, and Japan Display.

A Window that Turns into a Billboard…Samsung Display’s CTO “AMOLED, to Open New Era?”

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 Hyunjoo Kang / Reporter / jjoo@olednet.com

SDC’s CTO Sungchul Kim During Keynote Speech at FineTech Japan 2016

SDC’s CTO Sungchul Kim During Keynote Speech at FineTech Japan 2016

 

 

Samsung Display’s CTO, Sungchul Kim, displayed infinite potential of AMOLED’s new market creation ability, and emphasized that panel, manufacturing equipment, materials, and communication sectors need to grow together. He also suggested new life through AMOLED and technologies required for this.

On April 6, during the Technical Conference of FineTech Japan (April 6-8), Kim gave a keynote speech on the new market creating AMOLED’s next generation application and key technology.

As the market that AMOLED will newly open, Kim suggested mobile device, TV, VR and AR (virtual reality and augmented reality), automotive, PID (public information display), etc. According to Kim, these applications will be actualized through various forms of AMOLED such as foldable, rollable, stretchable, mirror, and transparent.

Explaining the utilization of mirror and transparent AMOLED, Kim emphasized that what is normally a wall or window can be turned into a PID that shows required information when needed. Kim explained that AMOLED is suitable for VR or AR that allows the user to realistically experience a particular environment or situation by combining the imaginary and reality. He added that when foldable and rollable displays are applied to mobile device, IT device, TV, etc., large screens can be produced while the device is small, and space utilization and mobility can be increased. Regarding automotive AMOLED, Kim explained that it will provide required information without disrupting driving, as well as improving the design of the vehicle.

Additionally, Kim suggested key technology required for actualization of each application. In the case of a window display, a technology that can simultaneously produce flexibility and hardness is required, and for automotive AMOLED, the technology for blue materials of phosphorescent materials needs to be improved. For transparent display that actualizes PID, transparency of each layer, substrate heat resistance, etc. have to be achieved.

Kim explained that in future, new life which is smart and connected through AMOLED will open. He further emphasized that for this to happen panel, manufacturing equipment, materials, and communication sectors need to grow together.

FineTech Japan 2016 (April 6-8) is a display technology related exhibition held in Tokyo Big Sight. The 26th annual event is participated by approximately 260 companies including Samsung Display, BOE, and Japan Display.

Blossoming April… Hurt by LCD, Heal with OLED

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Hyunjoo Kang / Reporter / jjoo@olednet.com

Flexible OLED from LGD(CES 2016)

Flexible OLED from LGD(CES 2016)

From April, the display industry is estimated to start mending the damage carried out by LCD with OLED.

 

In Q1 2016, Korean display industry suffered due to oversupply of Chinese LCD panels. Market experts believe that Samsung Display and LG Display will announce large Q1 deficit in April due to LCD.

 

However, the display market is expected to actively improve its performance from April.

 

Dong-won Kim, analyst with Hyundai Securities, estimated that great increase in profit is expected from Q2 2016 due to the increase in OLED operation rate and yield improvement. Also because of profitability improvement effect following LCD panel’s price rebound, the deficit will decrease.

 

LG Display’s performance in OLED sector is expected to noticeably improve. Over 90% of LG Display’s total mass production line is LCD at present. Hence, the fall of LCD price in Q1 is expected to have hit hard and OLED business is also showing deficit.

OLED TV from LG(CES 2016)

OLED TV from LG(CES 2016)

◆ After Harsh Q1, Warm Breeze of OLED… Spring for Equipment Industry Too

 

However, this will change from Q2. Analyst Hyeoncheol So of Shinhan Investment forecast that LG Display’s OLED TV sales volume and revenue in Q2 2016 will increase by 144% and 106% respectively. He added that the business deficit of OLED TV sector will greatly decrease.

 

LG Display is anticipating that the deficit will turn to profit in H2 2017, with the business profit of up to 1 trillion KRW in 2017, an increase of 115%.

 

Samsung Display, whose LCD and OLED ratio is 50:50, is expected to show 900,000 million KRW in deficit in LCD sector this first quarter. However, this is estimated to be compensated to some degree by the profit in OLED.

 

Samsung Display and LG Display are actively carrying out investment in OLED panel mass production line in Q1. As well as the investment in turning the existing LCD line to OLED, investment in new OLED line establishment is actively being carried out.

 

As such, with the optimistic outlook on OLED within the display market, flexible OLED manufacturing equipment companies such as Tera Semicon, Viatron Technologies, and Dong A Eltek had been discussed as the favorites of securities companies. In fact, Samsung Display’s flexible OLED manufacturing equipment related key collaborator AP Systems showed remarkable growth recording 12,100 million KRW in business profit last year.

 

UBI Research forecast that Korean companies will strengthen their dominance with their 2016 AMOLED shipment’s 95% occupancy of the global market. As OLED is becoming stronger in the TV, smartphone, and VR market, this will become a huge growth engine for global panel companies such as Samsung and LG.

 

[Light + Building 2016] OLEDWorks Presents Diverse Lineup to Open OLED Lighting Market

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Hyunjoo Kang, Reporter, OLEDNET

<OLEDWorks’ Keuka Module, Light + Building 2016>

 

OLEDWorks, an OLED panel lighting production company, is carefully opening the future lighting market with diverse future product lineup.

 

At the Light + Building 2016 (March 13-18), OLEDNET could observe OLEDWorks’ 6 types of Brite FL300 series, Brite Amber, Keuka module and others. The products showed 10,000-50,000 hours of lifetime, average efficiency of approx. 50 lm/W, CRI of 80-90, and with diverse color temperatures.

 

The OLEDWorks representative at the exhibition told OLEDNET that the company is aiming for general lighting market and the OLED lighting market will be actively open after 2-3 years earliest. OLED lighting has advantages of thickness and design freedom, and they estimated finding the killer application that can utilize these OLED merits is the key for the OLED lighting’s success.

 

[Light + Building 2016] OSRAM to Release Automotive OLED Lighting within 2-3 Months

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Hyunjoo Kang, Reporter, OLEDNET

<OSRAM’s O-ring, OLED Product Applied Automotive Rear Lamp>

 

During the Lighting + Building 2016 exhibition (March 13-18) held in Frankfurt, Germany, OSRAM revealed that OLED rear lamp equipped cars will be on the road within 2-3 months.

OSRAM exhibited O-ring, OLED product applied to automotive rear lamp at this exhibition, and OLEDNET could see the fruit of OSRAM’s steady automotive lighting product development.

 

<General OLED Lighting Concept Suggested by OSRAM>

The OSRAM representative at the exhibition explained that OSRAM will continue their focus on automotive lighting and develop products but at the right moment, will enter the general lighting market. The representative added that although only the basic concept of the general lighting is present for now, further development will be carried out in future.

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